The NBA Draft lottery is an annual event organized by the National Basketball Association (NBA), where teams who have missed the playoffs that the previous year participated in the lottery process to determine draft orders in the NBA concept. The NBA Draft Lottery started in 1985. In the NBA draft, the team gets the rights to amateur college basketball players and other qualified players, including international players. The winner of the lottery will get the first selection in the draft. The term "lottery lot" shows a design whose position is determined through the lottery, while the non-playoff team involved in the process is often called the "lottery team."
Under the current rules, only the top three picks are determined by the lottery, and are selected from 14 teams that do not make the playoffs. The team with the worst record, or the team that holds the team's worst-recorded draft, has the best chance of getting a higher draft. After the top three positions are selected (from the lottery slotting system), the remainder of the first-round draft order is in reverse order of win-lose records for the remaining team, or the team originally holding the lottery rights if they are traded. The lottery does not specify the draft sequence in the next round of the draft.
Starting with the 2019 draft, the NBA will change the lottery odds (the bottom three will all have the same 14% chance of winning the top pick) and increase the number of teams selected in the draw from three to four.
Video NBA draft lottery
History
Before 1985: territorial capture and flip the coins
In the previous draft, the teams will arrange the reverse order of their win-lose records. However, a special territorial rule of control allows the team to compose players from the local area. If a team decides to use its territorial pick, it cancels the first round selection in the draft. The rules of territorial retrieval remained until the NBA changed the draft system in 1966.
In 1966, the NBA introduced a coin flip between the worst teams in each division to determine who would get the first overall pick design. Teams that lose the coin flip will get a second pick, while the remaining first-round pick is set in reverse order of win-lose record. In this system, the second worst team will never have a chance to get the first option if they are in the same division as the worst team. Behind coins means that both teams have the same chance to make the first move. The coin-return system remained in operation until 1984.
1985-1989: Early lottery system
After the 1984 coin flip, won by the Houston Rockets, the NBA introduced a lottery system to counter the allegations that the Rockets and some other teams deliberately lost in their regular season matches to secure the worst record and consequently a first-choice opportunity. The lottery system involves a random image of an envelope from the hopper. Inside each envelope there is a non-playoff team name. The first envelope team will get the first option. The process is then repeated until another lottery selection is determined. In this system, any non-playoff team has equal opportunity to get first choice. The remainder of the first-round pick is determined in reverse order of win-lose notes.
Starting in 1987, the NBA modified the lottery system so that only the first three picks are determined by the lottery. After three envelopes are withdrawn, the remaining non-playoff teams will choose in reverse order of their win-lose records. This means that the team with the worst record can accept no worse than the fourth option, and the second worst team can vote no lower than the fifth, and so on.
The New York Knicks were the first winners of the lottery in 1985. They chose the prominent Georgetown University, Patrick Ewing with their first overall choice. However, there has been speculation that the NBA has installed the lottery so the Knicks will be convinced to get the first option. Although the envelope system was heavily criticized, it was used until 1989 before being replaced by a weighted lottery system in 1990.
Since 1990: The weighted lottery system
In 1990, the NBA changed the lottery format to give the worst recording team the best chance of choosing the first. The worst non-playoff team of the season will have 11 chances, from 66, to get first choice. The second worst will have 10 chances, and so on. Similar to previous systems, a weighted lottery system is also used only to determine the first three picks, while the rest of the team is selected in reverse order from their win-lose records.
Despite the weighted odds, the Orlando Magic won the draw in 1993 with only one chance to get the first choice because it was the best non-playoff team in the previous season. In October 1993, the NBA modified the lottery system to give the team the worst recording of a higher chance to win the draw and to reduce the chances of a better team to win. The new system increases the likelihood of the worst team getting first choice in draft from 16.7 percent to 25 percent, while reducing the best non-playoff team's chances from 1.5 percent to 0.5 percent.
In the new system, 14 numbered table tennis balls are used. Then, a four-digit combination of 14 balls is drawn to determine the lottery winner. Prior to the draft, the NBA set 1,000 possible combinations for non-playoff teams (combinations 11-12-13-14 ignored and redrawn). The process is then repeated to determine the second and third pick. The table below shows the lottery and probability chances for each team to win the first election in the weighted lottery system in the 1993 and 1994 drafts.
In 2014, the NBA Board of Governors voted on the proposed reforms for the draw. If the proposed change passes, the four worst teams in the league will be given the same chances (about 11 percent) to win the top election. The fifth team will have a 10 percent chance and will likely be reduced for each team after the vote. The proposed changes will take advantage of having the worst record in the league (currently the worst team given a 25% chance in pick), and will work to keep the team stay competitive throughout the season. The last vote was 17-13 to support the reform, but it lacked 23 votes needed to push the change through.
In 2016, Dikembe Mutombo got people to question the legitimacy of the draft when he prematurely tweeted a congratulatory message to the Philadelphia 76ers to receive the first hour before the draw was made. Philadelphia did win the first overall pick. Further questions are raised a little when the NBA Draft reveals that every place remains exactly the same as it was before it happened, which is the first event in the design of lottery history. A year later, Lakers executives, Magic Johnson, even asked further questions about the draft process with him convincing head coach Luke Walton that the Lakers will get the top 3 choices for the 2017 NBA draft after Walton's interview on May 4, 2017, twelve days before the lottery draft begins and moved to the second pick. As a result of the way teams such as the Philadelphia 76ers manipulate their lucrative draft opportunities by losing a deliberate game, starting September 28, 2017 with the end of the NBA 2014 draft, the NBA will implement a new system that makes the team reluctant to pass through Philadelphia Route in mid 2010 not only gives the three worst teams the same chance at the # 1 pick, but also increases their chances of getting down in the draft with four selected teams instead of the usual three.
In 1995, the NBA had an agreement with two franchise expansions, the Toronto Raptors and the Vancouver Grizzlies that both teams would not be entitled to the first overall election in the 1996, 1997 and 1998 drafts. The Raptors won the 1996 lottery but were forced to vote for the latter. Another combination was drawn and resulted in the Philadelphia 76ers getting first choice. Two years later, the Grizzlies won the lottery and also had to pick the second one in the draft, while L.A. Clippers got the first pick.
Maps NBA draft lottery
Process
Lotteries are usually held during the third or fourth week of May.
To determine the winner, fourteen pingpong balls numbered 1-14 are placed in a standard lottery machine and four balls are randomly selected from the lot. Just like most traditional lotteries, the sequence of numbers taken is not important. That is, 1-2-3-4 is considered the same as 4-3-2-1. There are a total of 1,001 combinations (or 14!/(10! X 4!)). From this combination, one result is ignored and the remaining results are distributed among 14 non-playoff NBA teams. Combinations 11-12-13-14 (in any order for the numbers to be withdrawn) are not set and ignored if drawn; this never happened in practice.
In case the lottery lottery is traded to another team, the original team record (which took it before the trade) still determines the eligibility for the lottery, and the assignment of the opportunity.
Since 2005, with 30 NBA teams, 16 go through the playoffs and 14 other teams are in draft draws. The 14 teams are ranked in reverse order of their regular season records and given the following opportunity opportunities, up to 2018:
- 250 combinations, 25.0% are likely to accept pick No. 1
- 199 combinations, 19.9% ​​chance
- 156 combinations, 15.6% chance
- 119 combinations, 11.9% chance
- 88 combinations, 8.8% chance
- 63 combinations, 6.3% chance
- 43 combinations, 4.3% chance
- 28 combinations, 2.8% chance
- 17 combinations, 1.7% chance
- 11 combinations, 1.1% chance
- 8 combinations, 0.8% chance
- 7 combinations, 0.7% chance
- 6 combinations, 0.6% chance
- 5 combinations, 0.5% chance
The following table lists opportunities for each seed to get a particular selection if there is no bond (rounded to three decimal places).
Starting with draft 2019, the NBA will change the lottery opportunities as follows:
- 140 combinations, 14.0% likely to accept pick No. 1
- 140 combinations, 14.0% chance
- 140 combinations, 14.0% chance
- 125 combinations, 12.5% ​​chance
- 105 combinations, 10.5% chance
- 90 combinations, 9.0% chance
- 75 combinations, 7.5% chance
- 60 combinations, 6.0% chance
- 45 combinations, 4.5% chance
- 30 combinations, 3.0% chance
- 20 combinations, 2.0% chance
- 15 combinations, 1.5% chance
- 10 combinations, 1.0% chance
- 5 combinations, 0.5% chance
The following table lists the opportunities for each seed to get a certain take, starting with draft 2019, if there is no bond (rounded to three decimal places).
If the team finishes with the same record, each team is bound to receive average of the total number of combinations for the position they occupy. In 2007, the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Portland Trail Blazers were tied for the sixth worst record. The average of the 6th and 7th positions in the lottery is taken, so each team gets 53 combinations (averages 63 and 43). If the average number is not an integer, then the coin flip is then used to determine which team or team receives an extra combination. Coin flip results are also used to determine who receives the pick early if both teams are tied winning one of the first three picks through the lottery.
Sweepstakes are conducted with witnesses (from the Ernst & Young accounting firm) who verify that all fourteen balls are represented once when they are placed in the lottery machine. The ball is placed on the machine for 20 seconds to shuffle before the first ball is drawn. The remaining three balls are drawn at 10 second intervals. NBA officials determine which team holds the winning combination and the franchise is given the # 1 overall design choice. The four balls are returned to the machine and the process is repeated to determine the second and third pick. If the combination belongs to the team that has already won the selection (or if an unspecified combination appears), the loop will be repeated until a unique winner is determined. When the first three teams have been determined, the remaining options are awarded based on regular season records with the worst team getting the highest choice. This guarantees each team that it can drop no more than three points from the projected draft position.
In cases where the lottery team trades its options to the playoff team, the playoff team assumes the lottery team position in all draft lottery situations, unless provided by trading conditions.
Lottery ceremony
Ping-pong ball takes place personally, although observed by independent auditors and representatives of each team. The results are then presented in a short ceremony (usually broadcast before or during the NBA playoff playoff round), in which the lottery order is announced in reverse order, from the fourteenth selection to the first. Representatives of each NBA franchise with lottery drawing are present at the lottery ceremony.
The decision not to feature a live ping-pong ball has sparked speculation that the NBA will sometimes fix the draft draw if it can benefit the league. Speculation stems from the 1985 draft draw that sent Patrick Ewing to New York, with the theory that the NBA wants to send the best players in draft to New York to boost ratings in the major television market. At that time, the NBA used 7 envelopes in a glass representing the seven teams with the worst record. Some people speculate that the envelope containing the Knicks logo was cooled before, allowing David Stern to recognize and select it. Another conspiracy theory shows that one of the seven envelopes is thrown into a glass, causing one corner to fold. After the envelope was mixed, Stern took a deep breath before reaching for the glass and picking up the envelope with the folded corner. No one ever explains why all the other teams will follow the fix. After that, the Lottery Draft Format is converted into a ping-pong ball lottery currently in a private room with a team representative. However, although there is no evidence, conspiracy theorists persist about the annual outcome of the draw.
Lottery winner
The greatest rage in the draw was in 1993 when Magic won the lottery with only a 1.5% chance of winning. The second biggest disruption occurred in 2008 and 2014 when the Chicago Bulls and Cleveland Cavaliers won each draw only with 1.7% chance. In 1999, the Charlotte Hornets also overcame a long haul in the draft lottery when they won the third pick despite having the best record among all the non-playoff teams. The Hornets only have a 1.83% chance of winning the top-three pick. Since the draw was introduced in 1985, only 18 of the 30 NBA teams won the draw. The Los Angeles Clippers have won five lotteries, though two of them were delivered to other teams in the trade before the draw. Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers are second with three lottery wins. Because the weighted lottery system was introduced in 1990, only four teams with the worst record wins the lottery while only four teams with the second worst winning record.
- Notes
See also
- Portal National Basketball Association
References
- General
- Specific
External links
- NBA.com
- NBA.com: NBA Draft History
- Hoops Report: NBA Draft Lottery
Source of the article : Wikipedia
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